October 27, 2008 -- It’s been a quiet week in Lake Wobegon, where all the women are strong, the men are good looking, and all the children are above average … no, wait, that’s Garrison Keillor’s shtick. Let’s revise that. It’s been a quiet week in Foggy Bottom, where all the opinions are strong, the chances of Democrats are good looking, and the rhetoric is above average. It is now a waiting game with but nine days to go, so those Brie-and-Chablis Democrats and multi-millionaire-Joe-six-pack Republicans clustered around the Foggy Bottom Watergate have a lot to discuss while they check on the latest poll results, like the stock brokers that used to be depicted in cartoons standing around ticker tape machines checking the latest numbers (a sentence that would qualify for the old New Yorker Magazine category of “Mixed Metaphors). And what were the topics of discussion? What kept the on-air blowviators, battering ram bloggers, and perpetrators of print pejoratives busy during calm in the eye of the storm?
There is much introspection while we wait. In a remarkable show of force, The New York Times paraded out nine, count ‘em nine, of their regular, top-drawer columnists in Sunday’s OpEd section to make their pronouncements. Maureen Dowd, Nicholas Kristof, David Brooks, Timothy Egan, Thomas Friedman, Gail Collins, Paul Krugman, Judith Warner, and Frank Rich, all on one day! It’s a motherboard overload. If the brain had a hard drive, it would crash. No one topic dominated this week. Just lots of soul searching.
Is our intellectuals unpatriotic? That may be a paraphrase of an oft-quoted George Bush comment, but the question is real in some quarters. Who are “Real” Americans? Got a college degree? Live in a big city? That lets you out, you unpatriotic haters of America and God. In Virginia last week, McCain adviser Nancy Pfotenhauer spoke of a “real Virginia — the part of the state “more Southern in nature.” Rep. Michele Bachmann (R-MN) told Chris Mathews on Hardball that Senator Obama may have "anti-American views" and called for the media to conduct a “penetrating exposé” into alleged anti-American views of members of Congress, which are “pro-American, which are anti-American.” Rep. Robin Hayes (R-NC) proclaimed "Liberals hate real Americans that work and accomplish and achieve and believe in God." As conservative columnist Kathleen Parker put it, “they (Republicans) do not want to vote for a divisive, anti-intellectual ticket.”
Timothy Egan in Sunday’s NY Times wrote about the “peculiar us-and-them parlance of Sarah Palin.” She says the “brightest, most productive communities in the United States are fake American … latte-sipping weenie,” the “brightest, most productive communities in the United States.” These are fake Americans? The GOP has become “the party of small-mindedness.” Since McCain went over to the stupid side he “has turned his “campaign over to the audience of Rush Limbaugh and Sean Hannity.” You’ve got to admit those latte-sipping intellectuals can get mean when riled.
Choosing Up Sides … when I was a kid before we played a game one team captain gripped a bat with one hand somewhere in the middle, the other team captain then gripped it just above his opponents hand, and they worked their way one hand after another until they reached the top and the last guy to try couldn’t get a grip. That determined who had first choice of players. In our current political version, the reverse is true: the players pick the captain. Endorsements are rolling in.
On the McCain side, he has a couple he could do without, the full support of President Bush, and it is reported on mid-east radio, al Qaeda, who apparently believe a saber rattling McCain is a better recruiting figure than Obama.
On the Democratic side, Obama can open his door and invite a bevy of Republican defectors into to join his party (the event, not his political party). Most notable is Retired General Colin Powell, former Massachusetts Gov. William Weld (R) and former Minnesota Gov. Arne Carlson (R) will vote Obama.
Former Bush Press Secretary Scott McClellan, former Bush adviser and prominent neo-conservative Ken Adelman will do the same. Adelman bases his move on temperament and judgment … “impetuous, inconsistent, and imprudent,” ending up with “just plain weird.” Harvard’s Charles Fried, solicitor general under President Reagan, couldn’t take the choice of Gov. Palin (neither could Colin Powell and others). Conservative Philadelphia talk-show host Michael Smerconish will vote Democratic for the first time in his life. Christopher Buckley, son of Bill F. and Christopher Hitchens are already on board. As is Susan Eisenhower, Dwight’s granddaughter. In addition, at least 27 newspapers that backed President Bush in 2004 have endorsed Obama. It’s almost as though John McCain, or Sarah Palin, had an STD.
Mathew Dowd, a political consultant and chief strategist for George W. Bush’s reelection campaign, also has a take the choice of Sarah Palin. “[McCain] knows, in his gut, that he put somebody unqualified on the ballot. He knows that in his gut, and when this race is over that is something he will have to live with… He put somebody unqualified on that ballot and he put the country at risk, he knows that.”
Here is Saturday Night Live’s take on a McCain endorsement:
http://www.nbc.com/Saturday_Night_Live/video/clips/update-thursday-bush-endorsement/783981/
What it costs to introduce a new product ... when you figure Coca-Cola spent $2.6 billion to advertise their product in 2006, the $150,000 the RNC spent on clothes and accessories at high-end stores like Neiman Marcus and Saks Fifth Avenue for the woman nicknamed “Caribou Barbie,” Sarah Palin, doesn’t seem like much. There may be a little problem for her to accept such gifts under the Alaska Ethics Law, but she has already been found guilty of violating that anyway (Palin and the campaign now say they are going to donate them to charity). Money spent on the three daughters totaled $21.012. Then there was the makeup artist who was paid $22,800 for the first two weeks of October (a little hard to give to charity), the highest-paid individual on the campaign. Add to that about ten grand for a hair stylist, plus a voice coach. That lady is former New York stage and screen actress Pricilla Shanks. According to Robert Draper in Sunday’s New York Times Magazine, the expense for Ms. Shanks was listed under Operating Expenditures and Get-Out-The-Vote consulting in finance reports. Columnist Maureen Dowd wrote: “She is so naturally good-looking, there is no need to gild the Last Frontier lily.” Eat your heart out, Maureen. A clothes feeding frenzy, the closest thing to penis envy. It is hard to fit this to the picture of the frugal hockey mom who shops at Wal-Mart. No wonder when asked if she would join the ticket she said “You Betcha.”
As if a re-run of an old Saturday Night Live show, “Never Mind.” … Former Fed Chairman Alan Greenspan, SEC chairman Christopher Cox, and former Treasury secretary John Snow appeared before a Congressional committee last week and admitted mistakes were made. Even Greenspan agrees now that regulations are in order. But as late as last December a Federal Reserve Governor, Edward Gramlich, urged Fed examiners to investigate mortgage lenders affiliated with national banks, but was rebuffed by Alan Greenspan. And Greenspan now says in effect “We Blew It.” Well, O.K. then, you apologized. We may be in for another Great Depression, but we all make a little mistake now and then.
Shuffling the wealth around … the Bush Administration pulled off the biggest redistribution of wealth in modern history, but John McCain is sure that the Obama tax plans are “socialism,” even though it mainly puts taxes back like they were before the Bush tax changes that McCain originally opposed came into being, the ones that moved wealth up the ladder. As the New York Observer noted “Progressive taxation is a tradition of Western economics that dates back considerably further than Marx and the Communist manifesto.” Adam Smith in 1776: “The subjects of every state ought to contribute towards the support of the government, as nearly as possible, in proportion to their respective abilities; that is, in proportion to the revenue which they respectively enjoy under the protection of the state.” Senator McCain, are you suggesting Adam Smith, author of “The Wealth of Nations,” was a socialist?”
It takes one to know one … Governor Palin continues to claim Obama palls around with terrorists, but who is a terrorist? In interviews she will not label a man who bombs abortion clinics, killing and maiming people, a terrorist. She talks about “real patriotic Americans” but to go over old ground, how can she get away with it since she and her husband, Todd, at one time belonged to the Alaska Independence Party whose founder, Joe Volger, stated "I'm an Alaskan, not an American. I've got no use for America or her damned institutions … The fires of Hell are glaciers compared to my hate for the American government." I don’t know how she gets away with this, even repackaged in designer clothes. Eight more days before votes are in. Will she go back to Alaska then? Some observers say if they lose, she will be in a strong position to run for the presidency in 2012. McCain has created a monster.
I voted early so I’m done, but I wouldn’t want you to think I voted willy-nilly, just based on gut feelings. I voted very scientifically, using a statistics-based creed called “sabermetrics.” According to Billy Blaine, Newt Gingrich, and John Kerry, baseball teams are now using this evidence based method to make player decisions: do they keep a great player who is about to go over the hill? Who gives them the most performance for their buck? It is being used successfully to field better teams more cost effectively. Sounds sensible to me.
The formulas being used are “WHIP (walks and hits per inning pitched), VORP (value over replacement player, or runs created — a number derived from the formula [(hits + walks) x total bases]/(at bats + walks).” Applying this system to the presidential nominees I came up with:
Walks and hits per inning pitched … an evaluation of the “pitches” (television ads) indicates more negative than positive ads on the Republican side.
Value over replacement players … it’s Biden vs. Palin as replacement for the president should one be necessary and I have to go with Biden all the way.
Filling in the long formula it is:
Hits … party acceptance speeches. Although Palin made a strong sowing, I have to go with the Democratic team.
Walks … a toss-up between Obama with Joe the plumber and McCain and the crazy lady at McCain rally.
Bases … how well they are doing with their base according to the polls, and important endorsements. No question Obama is ahead on that score.
A bats … how much talking about the issues versus talking about personalities, clearly a Democratic win.
Walks … the Republican vice presidential nominee on her walkabouts would not respond to reporters, showing disdain for answering reporter’s questions and keeping the public informed. A definite minus to the formula.
I ran the numbers. Made my decision. Have the satisfaction of knowing I took a strictly scientific approach. Newt Gingrich should be proud of me.