June 22, 2009 -- It appears that approximately half of the population have progressive views and want a society that is good for everyone while approximately half of the population is regressive and wants to stifle the other half and keep the status quo. But let’s turn our attention away from the U.S. and over to Iran where momentous events are taking place. It appears that approximately half of the population of Iran have progressive views and want a society that is good for everyone while approximately half of the population wants to stifle the other half and keep the status quo.
As popular uprisings go, this is not “one if by land, two if by sea” but more one if by Facebook, two if by Twitter which makes it difficult for the autocratic authorities to quell the demonstrations and keep the news from the rest of the world. Yes they closed down Facebook. Yes they closed down Twitter. Yes they banned foreign correspondents from going out to cover the events. Yet, the discontented are able to communicate, to plan, to gather, to keep the movement going. The world-wide cyber revolution has changed rules on popular uprisings, how to pull them off, how to squash them.
To recap, the Interior Ministry was sealed, opposition Web sites were shut down, text messages were cut off, cell phones were interrupted, Internet access was impeded, dozens of opposition figures were arrested, and universities were closed. People still managed to communicate. One of the tools used has a Chinese origin, The Global Internet Freedom Consortium, censorship-evasion technology concocted to serve the repressed Chinese spiritual group, the Falun Gong from attacks by Chinese authorities. The site just got 200 million hits from Iran, representing more than 400,000 people, and almost shut it own from overload.
Columnist Roger Cohen, who has lived in Iran and has connections there, is in Iran and is managing to report in the New York Times on conditions: “Garbage burned. Crowds bayed. Smoke from tear gas swirled. Hurled bricks sent phalanxes of police, some with automatic rifles, into retreat to the accompaniment of cheers.” Women in particular are very active, taking beatings and continuing their protests, crowds made up of not just the young but people of all ages. Cohen reports Tehran is a city of whisperers, people whispering to each other where and when to meet. He also reports a kind of human variation of the “101 Dalmatians” Twilight Bark; at the end of the day all over the city people stand on roof tops and shout, “Allah-u-Akbar” — “God is Great,” in protest.
What are we to make of this and how should we react? Best judgment seems to be that we not take this as pro-American, but a desire on the part of probably half the population for more democracy, particularly by women and the young (ages twenties and younger make up the majority) and a protest against being cheated. Iranians harbor a certain amount of ill feelings toward us, and even much more so the British, for past interference in their internal affairs (only mad dogs and Englishmen go out in the mid-day sun and overthrow other country’s governments). President Obama, unlike Congress where resolutions are flying faster than butterflies in a wind storm, has been cautious in his response, in part to keep the protesters from being branded American stooges, and in part to keep options open to negotiate the nuclear problem.
It isn’t easy to sort out the players. The country’s supreme leader, Ayatollah Ali Khamenei, who is coming across about as lovable as a Mafiosi don, warned of chaos and bloodshed if protests continue. And like British murder mysteries, where always “the butler did it,” in his case the Jews did it as he blames international Zionist media for fomenting unrest. He can just wave his hands and turn each protester into a Salman Rushdie. As NYT columnist Thomas Friedman put it if this continues he either has to shoot his own people or cede power. However this turns out he has lost a lot of esteem with half of his own people.
Then there are three military groups. Not much is being heard about the Army. The Revolutionary Guard is the big power base. It has its own ministry (where the votes are kept and counted), and is thought to have as many as 120,000 members, with its own small naval and air units. The IRGC are thought to control around a third of Iran's economy as well.
They also control the third group, the hated Basij, a volunteer force of 90,000 regular soldiers and 300,000 reservists. Among other things they turn people in for violations of religious rules in their role of moral policing and suppressors of dissident gatherings. More so than riot police, they throw themselves into the beating of men and women demonstrators on the streets. They are thought to be responsible for attacks on university dormitories and an apartment building this week in which several men and women were killed. A fun loving bunch of guys.
Mir Hussein Moussavi, designated as the loser of the presidential election, an insider himself, is considered less liberal than most of his followers, although he was seen holding hands with his wife in public (gasp). If an Iranian student who sent an OpEd piece to the New York Times has it right, although he is a Moussavi supporter himself he admits Obama would probably have more luck negotiating with the current president and supposed winner of the election, Mr. Ahmadinejad, who has been remarkably quiet this week, issuing only one statement to the effect that he loved everybody (does that include Israel?). Moussavi seems to have gotten into the spirit of the thing, perhaps egged on by his wife, who is called the Iranian Michelle Obama for her unheard of outspoken role in the election process, now states that he is ready for martyrdom. R.I.P.
Cohen and Friedman basically agree that Iranians face some tough choices. Unemployment is about 20 percent. Shall it be a “disastrous domestic political situation with Mr. Ahmadinejad but an improved foreign policy, or improved domestic leadership under Mr. Moussavi but near impossible challenges in making relations with the United States better” (Friedman). In Paris, filmmaker Mohsen Makhmalbaf’s daughter, Samira, said, “Until Friday we had 80 percent dictatorship and 20 percent democracy, and since Friday we have 100 percent dictatorship.” By the time you have read this who knows what more turmoil will have occurred. And “any man’s death diminishes me, for I am involved in mankind.”
Batons, bricks, and tear gas seem to be the weapons of the street in Iran, which makes you wonder what it would be like if they owned guns as we do in this country. The view of the National Rifle Association is that we own guns not for sport but, as stated in a fund-raising letter in the spring of 1995, “Jack-booted government thugs have more power to take away our Constitutional rights, break in our doors, seize our guns, destroy our property, and even injure or kill us.” The gun lobby seems to think Obfama is out to take away our guns. There is a Web site called gunbanobama.com, according to NYT columnist Bob Herbert, who writes about the “frightening connection between the right-wing hate-mongers who continue to slither among us and the gun crazies who believe a well-aimed bullet is the ticket to all their dreams.” When some lunatics believe someone is trying to take away his gun, things happen, like the murder at the Holocaust Memorial, the killing of three police officers in Pittsburgh, and the horror of the episode at the Branch Davidian compound near Waco, Texas, when authorities tried to check on a stockpile of illegal machine guns that had been amassed there. As the executive vice president of the N.R.A., Wayne LaPierre said, “Our founding fathers understood that the guys with the guns make the rules.” I don’t find that very comfortable considering the nature of some of the people we allow to own guns and the people who feed their fears.
After 3.9 billion years we are still trying to figure out how to get along with each other. That is the newest date scientists have come up with on when life on Earth began, triggered by a surge of large comets and asteroids that hit and heated the surface of the earth into molten rock and “boiled off its oceans into an incandescent mist” the newspaper account said. Out of that rich stew developed cells and membrane. Life. Or as Truman Capote put it, "Life is a moderately good play with a badly written third act." I ran across a new expression I can’t say I am very fond of, “investors with short time window.” They’re talking about me. Did they have to remind me of my “short time window?”
The man thought to be the oldest man in the world died this week in his sleep at age 113 (I wish I had his window), in Japan. He left 53 great grand children, which says something about the population explosion. About 225 years ago the population of this country was about 4 million people. Multiply that by 77 and you have the USA population of today.
Our use of the death penalty doesn’t do much to keep the population in check, although our Supreme Court in its usual 5 to 4 decision did its little part this week. It was ruled that prisoners have no constitutional right to DNA testing that might prove their innocence, even at the prisoner’s own expense. Since DNA testing came into being there have been 240 exonerations, but the Court led as usual by Chief Justice Roberts, hardly the champion of individual rights didn’t think it mattered. Mr. Prosecutor, you think he’s guilty then don’t be bothered with a DNA test. It might annoyingly prove his innocence.
In other news, with apologies to Burl Ives and his “I know an old lady who swallowed a fly, I don’t know why she swallowed a fly” we might say “I know an Obama who swatted a fly. I want to know why he swatted a fly.” You saw it on YouTube, you saw it on cable, you saw it on late night talk shows. The comments and commentary that followed this momentous event (yes there was commentary, as there would have been if he had broken a shoe lace) swirled around the reaction of PETA, the People for the Ethical Treatment of Animals who went on record deploring the event and are sending to the President a “Katcha Bug Humane Bug Catcher.” No word on their reaction to the issuance of fly swatters to White House staff. This was not the case of the Administration bringing to Washington and rewarding campaign supporters with positions in the White House; the place has been over run with flies for years they say.
I am more interested in interpreting the psychological meaning behind the act. What does it tell us about the President? He acted forcefully to remove an obstruction in his path, after giving it fair warning by telling it to “get out of here.” He did not call a committee meeting to discuss what should be done about the fly; he acted alone, taking personal responsibility. He did not dawdle, but once making his decision moved promptly. He did not pause to grieve, nor show undue remorse, but moved on resolutely to the next important matter. Yes, I believe the fly incident says a lot about our President and I can steal a quote from the late Jack Valenti about Lyndon Johnson, “I sleep better knowing that Obama is our President.”